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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. malik-willis...
  4. 2025

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Malik Willis headshot

Malik Willis

2025 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
41
21st in the NFL
Total Yards
549
49th in the NFL
Total TDs
5
44th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+41
21st
EPA / DB
+0.73
1st
Success Rate
69.6%
1st
CPOE
+22.0%
1st
ANY/A
12.3
1st
QBR
93.3
1st
Passer Rating
145.5
1st
Passing Yards
422
50th
Yards / Attempt
12.1
1st
Passing TDs
3
47th
Interceptions
0
4th
Rushing Yards
127
30th
Yards / Carry
7.9
6th
Rushing TDs
2
17th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
DET logo
DET
H
DNP
2
WAS logo
WAS
H
DNP
3
CLE logo
CLE
A
DNP
4
DAL logo
DAL
A
DNP
5BYE WEEK
6
CIN logo
CIN
H
DNP
7
ARI logo
ARI
A
DNP
8
PIT logo
PIT
A
DNP
9
CAR logo
CAR
H
DNP
10
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP
11
NYG logo
NYG
A
Sub
+1.43
+4.3
22
1
--
118.8
12
MIN logo
MIN
H
Sub
+0.33
+0.7
11
0
--
95.8
13
DET logo
DET
A
DNP
14
CHI logo
CHI
H
DNP
15
DEN logo
DEN
A
DNP
16
CHI logo
CHI
A
Sub
+0.68
+13.7
167
1
--
142.8
17
BAL logo
BAL
H
Start
+0.72
+22.4
349
3
--
134.6
+300.9
18
MIN logo
MIN
A
DNP