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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. patrick-mahomes...
  4. 2020

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Patrick Mahomes headshot

Patrick Mahomes

2020 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
200
3rd in the NFL
Total Yards
5,077
2nd in the NFL
Total TDs
41
5th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+200
3rd
EPA / DB
+0.29
4th
Success Rate
54.5%
7th
CPOE
+2.8%
14th
ANY/A
8.3
2nd
QBR
78.1
2nd
Passer Rating
108.4
3rd
Passing Yards
4,740
2nd
Yards / Attempt
8.1
5th
Passing TDs
38
4th
Interceptions
6
29th
Rushing Yards
337
10th
Yards / Carry
7.3
10th
Rushing TDs
3
16th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
HOU logo
HOU
H
Start
+0.48
+16.7
211
3
--
123.3
+87.0
2
LAC logo
LAC
A
Start
+0.12
+7.2
356
2
--
90.9
+156.8
3
BAL logo
BAL
A
Start
+0.75
+36.2
411
5
--
133.5
+436.4
4
NE logo
NE
H
Start
+0.20
+7.3
270
2
--
113.6
+111.2
5
OAK logo
OAK
H
Start
+0.12
+6.8
361
3
1
83.5
+4.7
6
BUF logo
BUF
A
Start
+0.49
+16.8
263
2
--
128.4
+131.5
7
DEN logo
DEN
A
Start
-0.09
-2.4
200
1
--
107.2
-90.8
8
NYJ logo
NYJ
H
Start
+0.66
+27.7
416
5
--
144.4
+346.1
9
CAR logo
CAR
H
Start
+0.32
+16.1
378
4
--
124.4
+215.4
10BYE WEEK
11
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
+0.42
+21.6
366
2
1
102.8
+165.0
12
TB logo
TB
A
Start
+0.42
+24.9
491
3
--
124.7
+332.8
13
DEN logo
DEN
H
Start
+0.16
+7.2
345
1
--
95.6
+112.9
14
MIA logo
MIA
A
Start
+0.10
+4.0
403
2
3
91.9
-10.1
15
NO logo
NO
A
Start
+0.12
+7.2
306
4
--
92.0
+64.0
16
ATL logo
ATL
H
Start
+0.05
+2.5
300
2
1
79.5
-16.2
17
LAC logo
LAC
H
DNP