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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. patrick-mahomes...
  4. 2022

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Patrick Mahomes headshot

Patrick Mahomes

2022 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
216
1st in the NFL
Total Yards
5,616
1st in the NFL
Total TDs
45
1st in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+216
1st
EPA / DB
+0.28
1st
Success Rate
53.9%
1st
CPOE
+3.6%
5th
ANY/A
7.9
2nd
QBR
79.0
1st
Passer Rating
105.2
3rd
Passing Yards
5,250
1st
Yards / Attempt
8.1
7th
Passing TDs
41
1st
Interceptions
12
60th
Rushing Yards
366
9th
Yards / Carry
7.5
7th
Rushing TDs
4
8th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
ARI logo
ARI
A
Start
+0.70
+30.7
365
5
--
144.2
+336.9
2
LAC logo
LAC
H
Start
+0.15
+5.8
235
2
--
106.3
+71.2
3
IND logo
IND
A
Start
+0.23
+9.8
288
1
1
78.5
-9.4
4
TB logo
TB
A
Start
+0.29
+13.0
283
3
1
97.7
+69.3
5
OAK logo
OAK
H
Start
+0.34
+17.2
321
4
--
117.6
+148.8
6
BUF logo
BUF
H
Start
+0.13
+7.1
359
2
2
85.2
+53.6
7
SF logo
SF
A
Start
+0.70
+28.1
423
3
1
132.4
+240.8
8BYE WEEK
9
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
+0.10
+8.1
509
2
1
80.9
+199.8
10
JAX logo
JAX
H
Start
+0.59
+24.2
371
4
1
129.6
+253.9
11
LAC logo
LAC
A
Start
+0.36
+15.0
353
3
--
120.8
+170.9
12
LAR logo
LAR
H
Start
+0.25
+12.4
356
1
1
85.4
+136.5
13
CIN logo
CIN
A
Start
+0.21
+6.6
232
2
--
98.2
+54.3
14
DEN logo
DEN
A
Start
+0.13
+5.8
352
3
3
86.6
+44.4
15
HOU logo
HOU
A
Start
+0.30
+14.1
369
3
--
117.1
+342.2
16
SEA logo
SEA
H
Start
+0.12
+4.0
232
3
--
106.8
+93.9
17
DEN logo
DEN
H
Start
+0.20
+9.1
337
3
1
106.1
+202.2
18
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
+0.17
+5.5
231
1
--
105.0
-4.1