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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. taylor-heinicke...
  4. 2022

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Taylor Heinicke headshot

Taylor Heinicke

2022 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-9
45th in the NFL
Total Yards
1,962
31st in the NFL
Total TDs
13
29th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-9
45th
EPA / DB
-0.03
37th
Success Rate
45.3%
30th
CPOE
+1.7%
12th
ANY/A
6.1
22nd
QBR
--
Passer Rating
90.3
23rd
Passing Yards
1,859
31st
Yards / Attempt
7.2
22nd
Passing TDs
12
28th
Interceptions
6
38th
Rushing Yards
103
28th
Yards / Carry
4.7
41st
Rushing TDs
1
25th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
JAX logo
JAX
H
DNP
2
DET logo
DET
A
DNP
3
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP
4
DAL logo
DAL
A
DNP
5
TEN logo
TEN
H
DNP
6
CHI logo
CHI
A
DNP
7
GB logo
GB
H
Start
-0.03
-1.3
205
2
1
85.5
+1.8
8
IND logo
IND
A
Start
+0.06
+2.3
308
2
1
98.7
+106.3
9
MIN logo
MIN
H
Start
-0.24
-8.7
167
2
1
77.8
-120.9
10
PHI logo
PHI
A
Start
+0.08
+2.7
225
0
1
71.7
-116.7
11
HOU logo
HOU
A
Start
+0.03
+0.9
193
0
--
77.9
-47.4
12
ATL logo
ATL
H
Start
+0.04
+0.9
138
2
1
88.7
-89.2
13
NYG logo
NYG
A
Start
+0.03
+1.4
282
2
--
101.2
+4.1
14BYE WEEK
15
NYG logo
NYG
H
Start
-0.16
-5.9
282
1
--
98.2
+9.0
16
SF logo
SF
A
Start
-0.06
-1.5
162
2
1
114.6
-43.0
17
CLE logo
CLE
H
DNP
18
DAL logo
DAL
H
DNP