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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. tua-tagovailoa...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Tua Tagovailoa headshot

Tua Tagovailoa

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
115
4th in the NFL
Total Yards
4,708
3rd in the NFL
Total TDs
29
10th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+115
4th
EPA / DB
+0.18
5th
Success Rate
50.4%
7th
CPOE
+4.5%
8th
ANY/A
7.5
4th
QBR
60.8
13th
Passer Rating
101.4
7th
Passing Yards
4,624
1st
Yards / Attempt
8.3
6th
Passing TDs
29
6th
Interceptions
14
62nd
Rushing Yards
84
33rd
Yards / Carry
4.9
39th
Rushing TDs
0
60th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
LAC logo
LAC
A
Start
+0.64
+30.1
473
3
1
110.0
+236.2
2
NE logo
NE
A
Start
+0.37
+12.3
253
1
1
92.2
+23.1
3
DEN logo
DEN
H
Start
+0.94
+25.5
309
4
--
155.8
+290.2
4
BUF logo
BUF
A
Start
-0.07
-3.4
289
1
1
92.8
+9.4
5
NYG logo
NYG
H
Start
-0.07
-2.0
315
2
2
103.8
+47.3
6
CAR logo
CAR
H
Start
+0.52
+16.6
262
3
--
126.0
+167.5
7
PHI logo
PHI
A
Start
-0.15
-5.5
213
1
1
87.5
-36.1
8
NE logo
NE
H
Start
+0.31
+16.0
335
3
1
100.6
+143.2
9
KC logo
KC
A
Start
-0.21
-8.7
200
1
--
87.0
-45.6
10BYE WEEK
11
OAK logo
OAK
H
Start
-0.03
-1.2
332
2
1
103.0
+104.3
12
NYJ logo
NYJ
A
Start
+0.17
+5.5
244
1
2
80.1
-42.2
13
WAS logo
WAS
A
Start
+0.85
+21.2
280
2
--
141.0
+120.7
14
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
-0.13
-5.5
255
0
--
90.5
-81.2
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
H
Start
+0.29
+8.2
224
1
--
119.4
+88.4
16
DAL logo
DAL
H
Start
+0.20
+7.7
293
1
--
98.1
+109.2
17
BAL logo
BAL
A
Start
-0.06
-2.6
251
2
2
71.9
-44.6
18
BUF logo
BUF
H
Start
+0.04
+1.1
180
1
2
62.7
-50.6