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  4. 2009
ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2009 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
160210th
Point Diff / Game
+1.415th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02415th

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF
L
16-20
-4
-4.5
L
-29
2
JAX logo
JAX@
W
31-17
+14
+3
W
17
3
IND logo
IND
L
10-31
-21
-3
L
-21
4BYE WEEK
5
HOU logo
HOU
W
28-21
+7
-6
W
10
6
SEA logo
SEA@
W
27-03
+24
+3
W
13
7
NYG logo
NYG@
W
24-17
+7
+8
W
2
8
CAR logo
CAR
L
21-34
-13
-10
L
-24
9
CHI logo
CHI@
W
41-21
+20
+2
W
31
10
SEA logo
SEA
W
31-20
+11
-8
W
13
11
LAR logo
LAR@
W
21-13
+8
-8.5
L
-127
12
TEN logo
TEN@
L
17-20
-3
+3.5
W
150
13
MIN logo
MIN
W
30-17
+13
+3.5
W
15
14
SF logo
SF@
L
09-24
-15
-4.5
L
-29
15
DET logo
DET@
W
31-24
+7
-14
L
-13
16
LAR logo
LAR
W
31-10
+21
-16.5
W
17
17
GB logo
GB
L
07-33
-26
-3
L
-19
18
GB logo
GB
W
51-45
+6
+3
W
28
19
NO logo
NO@
L
14-45
-31
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.00
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
19th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
15th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
16th
Sack EPA
-3.19
12th
Turnover EPA
-8.77
5th
Point Differential
+1.4
15th
Points For
24.4
9th
Points Against
23.1
20th
Total Yards
355.6
12th
Passing Yards
201.4
8th
Rushing Yards
97.0
27th
Total Yards Allowed
358.8
24th
Passing Allowed
188.7
20th
Rushing Allowed
114.7
16th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
22nd
4th Down
50%
13th
Red Zone
69%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
11th
4th Down
52%
19th
Red Zone
53%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.2
29th
Created
1.8
9th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
17th
Created
1.2
8th

Fumbles

Lost
1.1
31st
Created
0.6
26th