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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2011 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
141028th
Point Diff / Game
-2.321st
Net EPA / Play
-0.04121st

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR
W
28-21
+7
-7
P
21
2
WAS logo
WAS@
L
21-22
-1
+4.5
W
5
3
SEA logo
SEA@
L
10-13
-3
-3
L
-9
4
NYG logo
NYG
L
27-31
-4
+1.5
L
-11
5
MIN logo
MIN@
L
10-34
-24
+3.5
L
-21
6BYE WEEK
7
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-32
-12
+4
L
-3
8
BAL logo
BAL@
L
27-30
-3
+11.5
W
-16
9
LAR logo
LAR
W
19-13
+6
-1
W
9
10
PHI logo
PHI@
W
21-17
+4
+13
W
17
11
SF logo
SF@
L
07-23
-16
+10
L
-23
12
LAR logo
LAR@
W
23-20
+3
+2.5
W
62
13
DAL logo
DAL
W
19-13
+6
+4.5
W
10
14
SF logo
SF
W
21-19
+2
+3.5
W
-46
15
CLE logo
CLE
W
20-17
+3
-6
L
7
16
CIN logo
CIN@
L
16-23
-7
+4
L
1
17
SEA logo
SEA
W
23-20
+3
-2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.11
28th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
9th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
18th
Sack EPA
-5.06
28th
Turnover EPA
-8.62
4th
Point Differential
-2.3
21st
Points For
19.5
24th
Points Against
21.8
16th
Total Yards
324.5
19th
Passing Yards
222.9
9th
Rushing Yards
101.6
24th
Total Yards Allowed
355.1
18th
Passing Allowed
214.3
23rd
Rushing Allowed
124.1
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
29th
4th Down
60%
4th
Red Zone
51%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
31%
1st
4th Down
50%
23rd
Red Zone
40%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
26th
Created
1.3
24th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.4
27th
Created
0.6
26th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
12th
Created
0.6
12th