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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2019 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-10-1
nfelo Rating
141023rd
Point Diff / Game
-5.123rd
Net EPA / Play
-0.08724th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET
T
27-27
0
+2.5
W
-13
2
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-23
-6
+13
W
12
3
CAR logo
CAR
L
20-38
-18
-2
L
-33
4
SEA logo
SEA
L
10-27
-17
+5.5
L
-9
5
CIN logo
CIN@
W
26-23
+3
+3
W
25
6
ATL logo
ATL
W
34-33
+1
+3
W
14
7
NYG logo
NYG@
W
27-21
+6
+3.5
W
1
8
NO logo
NO@
L
09-31
-22
+12.5
L
-15
9
SF logo
SF
L
25-28
-3
+10
W
14
10
TB logo
TB@
L
27-30
-3
+5.5
W
9
11
SF logo
SF@
L
26-36
-10
+10
P
-2
12BYE WEEK
13
LAR logo
LAR
L
07-34
-27
+2.5
L
-24
14
PIT logo
PIT
L
17-23
-6
+2
L
-16
15
CLE logo
CLE
W
38-24
+14
+3
W
17
16
SEA logo
SEA@
W
27-13
+14
+8
W
36
17
LAR logo
LAR@
L
24-31
-7
+7
P
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
17th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
19th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
5th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
28th
EPA / Pass
+0.22
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
11th
Sack EPA
-4.47
16th
Turnover EPA
-4.70
25th
Point Differential
-5.1
23rd
Points For
22.6
16th
Points Against
27.6
28th
Total Yards
342.1
20th
Passing Yards
182.8
22nd
Rushing Yards
124.4
10th
Total Yards Allowed
402.0
32nd
Passing Allowed
258.6
32nd
Rushing Allowed
120.1
23rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
23rd
4th Down
65%
2nd
Red Zone
45%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
47%
30th
4th Down
21%
1st
Red Zone
60%
20th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
10th
Created
1.0
28th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
16th
Created
0.4
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
4th
Created
0.6
14th