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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2020 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
151713th
Point Diff / Game
+2.712th
Net EPA / Play
+0.05012th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF@
W
24-20
+4
-7.5
L
53
2
WAS logo
WAS
W
30-15
+15
-7
W
20
3
DET logo
DET
L
23-26
-3
-5
L
-10
4
CAR logo
CAR@
L
21-31
-10
-3
L
-21
5
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
30-10
+20
-7
W
16
6
DAL logo
DAL@
W
38-10
+28
+1
W
13
7
SEA logo
SEA
W
37-34
+3
+3.5
W
17
8BYE WEEK
9
MIA logo
MIA
L
31-34
-3
-6
L
6
10
BUF logo
BUF
W
32-30
+2
-3
L
5
11
SEA logo
SEA@
L
21-28
-7
+3
L
-29
12
NE logo
NE@
L
17-20
-3
-1.5
L
-16
13
LAR logo
LAR
L
28-38
-10
+2.5
L
-16
14
NYG logo
NYG@
W
26-07
+19
-3
W
10
15
PHI logo
PHI
W
33-26
+7
-6
W
26
16
SF logo
SF
L
12-20
-8
-6
L
-17
17
LAR logo
LAR@
L
07-18
-11
+1
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
22nd
EPA / Rush
+0.06
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
16th
Sack EPA
-3.82
13th
Turnover EPA
-6.56
8th
Point Differential
+2.7
12th
Points For
25.6
14th
Points Against
22.9
12th
Total Yards
384.6
6th
Passing Yards
222.3
10th
Rushing Yards
139.8
6th
Total Yards Allowed
351.9
13th
Passing Allowed
190.7
11th
Rushing Allowed
125.5
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
22nd
4th Down
68%
5th
Red Zone
66%
9th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
10th
4th Down
67%
26th
Red Zone
52%
4th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
21st
Created
1.2
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
0.7
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
23rd
Created
0.5
18th