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  4. 2022
ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-13
nfelo Rating
127830th
Point Diff / Game
-6.429th
Net EPA / Play
-0.11429th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC
L
21-44
-23
+6.5
L
-45
2
OAK logo
OAK@
W
29-23
+6
+5.5
W
11
3
LAR logo
LAR
L
12-20
-8
+3
L
-13
4
CAR logo
CAR@
W
26-16
+10
+1
W
9
5
PHI logo
PHI
L
17-20
-3
+5.5
W
1
6
SEA logo
SEA@
L
09-19
-10
-2.5
L
-15
7
NO logo
NO
W
42-34
+8
-2.5
W
5
8
MIN logo
MIN@
L
26-34
-8
+4
L
-1
9
SEA logo
SEA
L
21-31
-10
-2
L
-68
10
LAR logo
LAR@
W
27-17
+10
+3
W
16
11
SF logo
SF
L
10-38
-28
+8
L
42
12
LAC logo
LAC
L
24-25
-1
+2.5
W
-1
13BYE WEEK
14
NE logo
NE
L
13-27
-14
+2
L
-88
15
DEN logo
DEN@
L
15-24
-9
+1.5
L
-111
16
TB logo
TB
L
16-19
-3
+7.5
W
7
17
ATL logo
ATL@
L
19-20
-1
+6.5
W
20
18
SF logo
SF@
L
13-38
-25
+14.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.12
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.00
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.03
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.04
17th
Sack EPA
-4.77
23rd
Turnover EPA
-5.72
9th
Point Differential
-6.4
29th
Points For
20.0
21st
Points Against
26.4
31st
Total Yards
324.1
22nd
Passing Yards
213.6
7th
Rushing Yards
110.4
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
349.0
21st
Passing Allowed
155.2
4th
Rushing Allowed
118.6
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
26th
4th Down
44%
24th
Red Zone
57%
11th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
27th
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
65%
28th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
22nd
Created
1.2
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
28th
Created
0.6
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.6
10th