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  4. 2023
ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2023 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-13
nfelo Rating
140228th
Point Diff / Game
-7.428th
Net EPA / Play
-0.13628th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
L
16-20
-4
+7
W
-2
2
NYG logo
NYG
L
28-31
-3
+5
W
-1
3
DAL logo
DAL
W
28-16
+12
+11
W
21
4
SF logo
SF@
L
16-35
-19
+15
L
-11
5
CIN logo
CIN
L
20-34
-14
+3
L
-26
6
LAR logo
LAR@
L
09-26
-17
+7.5
L
-21
7
SEA logo
SEA@
L
10-20
-10
+9
L
-12
8
BAL logo
BAL
L
24-31
-7
+9.5
W
-35
9
CLE logo
CLE@
L
00-27
-27
+13
L
106
10
ATL logo
ATL
W
25-23
+2
+2
W
-7
11
HOU logo
HOU@
L
16-21
-5
+5.5
W
1
12
LAR logo
LAR
L
14-37
-23
+2.5
L
-32
13
PIT logo
PIT@
W
24-10
+14
+6.5
W
14
14BYE WEEK
15
SF logo
SF
L
29-45
-16
+12
L
-8
16
CHI logo
CHI@
L
16-27
-11
+4.5
L
-10
17
PHI logo
PHI@
W
35-31
+4
+11.5
W
23
18
SEA logo
SEA
L
20-21
-1
+3
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
18th
EPA / Pass
-0.18
27th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.08
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.16
31st
EPA / Rush
+0.01
29th
Sack EPA
-4.72
19th
Turnover EPA
-4.70
20th
Point Differential
-7.4
28th
Points For
19.4
24th
Points Against
26.8
31st
Total Yards
324.5
19th
Passing Yards
171.5
24th
Rushing Yards
139.5
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
355.8
25th
Passing Allowed
150.7
3rd
Rushing Allowed
143.2
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
14th
4th Down
44%
28th
Red Zone
64%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
47%
32nd
4th Down
47%
8th
Red Zone
61%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
13th
Created
0.9
28th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
15th
Created
0.6
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
10th
Created
0.3
31st