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  4. 2010
ATL logo

Atlanta Falcons

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-4
nfelo Rating
16007th
Point Diff / Game
+5.85th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0926th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT@
L
09-15
-6
-1
L
-6
2
ARI logo
ARI
W
41-07
+34
-7
W
20
3
NO logo
NO@
W
27-24
+3
+3
W
12
4
SF logo
SF
W
16-14
+2
-7
L
-39
5
CLE logo
CLE@
W
20-10
+10
-3
W
14
6
PHI logo
PHI@
L
17-31
-14
+2
L
-10
7
CIN logo
CIN
W
39-32
+7
-3.5
W
22
8BYE WEEK
9
TB logo
TB
W
27-21
+6
-10
L
-6
10
BAL logo
BAL
W
26-21
+5
-1
W
15
11
LAR logo
LAR@
W
34-17
+17
-3.5
W
16
12
GB logo
GB
W
20-17
+3
-2
W
1
13
TB logo
TB@
W
28-24
+4
-3
W
-3
14
CAR logo
CAR@
W
31-10
+21
-7
W
-1
15
SEA logo
SEA@
W
34-18
+16
-5.5
W
4
16
NO logo
NO
L
14-17
-3
-2.5
L
-9
17
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-10
+21
-14
W
9
18BYE WEEK
19
GB logo
GB
L
21-48
-27
-1
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
7th
EPA / Pass
+0.12
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
16th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
10th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
11th
Sack EPA
-2.76
9th
Turnover EPA
-4.42
30th
Point Differential
+5.8
5th
Points For
25.6
6th
Points Against
19.8
6th
Total Yards
332.7
19th
Passing Yards
160.2
26th
Rushing Yards
113.9
13th
Total Yards Allowed
339.0
19th
Passing Allowed
220.0
29th
Rushing Allowed
105.3
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
46%
3rd
4th Down
71%
4th
Red Zone
61%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
24th
4th Down
53%
21st
Red Zone
56%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
7th
Created
1.8
11th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
4th
Created
1.3
4th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
15th
Created
0.5
27th