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  4. 2011
BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2011 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-5
nfelo Rating
16128th
Point Diff / Game
+6.46th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1086th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT
W
35-07
+28
-1.5
W
24
2
TEN logo
TEN@
L
13-26
-13
-5.5
L
-21
3
LAR logo
LAR@
W
37-07
+30
-6
W
35
4
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
34-17
+17
-5
W
6
5BYE WEEK
6
HOU logo
HOU
W
29-14
+15
-7
W
11
7
JAX logo
JAX@
L
07-12
-5
-10
L
-17
8
ARI logo
ARI
W
30-27
+3
-11.5
L
-32
9
PIT logo
PIT@
W
23-20
+3
+3.5
W
12
10
SEA logo
SEA@
L
17-22
-5
-7
L
-8
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
31-24
+7
-7
P
5
12
SF logo
SF
W
16-06
+10
-3.5
W
13
13
CLE logo
CLE@
W
24-10
+14
-7
W
4
14
IND logo
IND
W
24-10
+14
-16
L
1
15
LAC logo
LAC@
L
14-34
-20
-1
L
-13
16
CLE logo
CLE
W
20-14
+6
-11
L
-8
17
CIN logo
CIN@
W
24-16
+8
-3
W
10
18BYE WEEK
19
HOU logo
HOU
W
20-13
+7
-7.5
L
-20
20
NE logo
NE@
L
20-23
-3
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.00
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
18th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.11
3rd
EPA / Pass
-0.16
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.12
6th
Sack EPA
-3.89
17th
Turnover EPA
-5.81
23rd
Point Differential
+6.4
6th
Points For
23.2
14th
Points Against
16.8
3rd
Total Yards
335.9
15th
Passing Yards
204.7
13th
Rushing Yards
122.3
12th
Total Yards Allowed
292.6
3rd
Passing Allowed
152.6
4th
Rushing Allowed
94.9
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
7th
4th Down
44%
12th
Red Zone
50%
17th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
3rd
4th Down
48%
20th
Red Zone
39%
1st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
15th
Created
1.8
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
5th
Created
1.1
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
23rd
Created
0.7
10th