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  4. 2023
BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-5
nfelo Rating
16755th
Point Diff / Game
+11.61st
Net EPA / Play
+0.2051st

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU
W
25-09
+16
-9.5
W
0
2
CIN logo
CIN@
W
27-24
+3
+3
W
15
3
IND logo
IND
L
19-22
-3
-7.5
L
-15
4
CLE logo
CLE@
W
28-03
+25
-1.5
W
18
5
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-17
-7
-4.5
L
-16
6
TEN logo
TEN@
W
24-16
+8
-5.5
W
8
7
DET logo
DET
W
38-06
+32
-3
W
32
8
ARI logo
ARI@
W
31-24
+7
-9.5
L
-14
9
SEA logo
SEA
W
37-03
+34
-6
W
14
10
CLE logo
CLE
L
31-33
-2
-5.5
L
-13
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-20
+14
-4
W
19
12
LAC logo
LAC@
W
20-10
+10
-3
W
22
13BYE WEEK
14
LAR logo
LAR
W
37-31
+6
-7.5
L
-3
15
JAX logo
JAX@
W
23-07
+16
-4
W
17
16
SF logo
SF@
W
33-19
+14
+6.5
W
17
17
MIA logo
MIA
W
56-19
+37
-3
W
-76
18
PIT logo
PIT
L
10-17
-7
+3
L
41
19BYE WEEK
20
HOU logo
HOU
W
34-10
+24
-10
W
30
21
KC logo
KC
L
10-17
-7
-4.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
9th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
4th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.14
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.19
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.09
11th
Sack EPA
-4.71
18th
Turnover EPA
-4.74
18th
Point Differential
+11.6
1st
Points For
27.7
4th
Points Against
16.2
1st
Total Yards
367.8
6th
Passing Yards
180.1
20th
Rushing Yards
156.5
1st
Total Yards Allowed
297.8
4th
Passing Allowed
183.8
15th
Rushing Allowed
104.8
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
11th
4th Down
67%
2nd
Red Zone
62%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
9th
4th Down
40%
1st
Red Zone
42%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
18th
Created
1.5
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
1st
Created
0.9
10th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
30th
Created
0.5
20th