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  4. 2025
BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-7
nfelo Rating
155112th
Point Diff / Game
-0.718th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02319th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF@
L
40-41
-1
-1.5
L
7
2
CLE logo
CLE
W
41-17
+24
-12.5
W
7
3
DET logo
DET
L
30-38
-8
-4.5
L
-14
4
KC logo
KC@
L
20-37
-17
-2.5
L
-143
5
HOU logo
HOU
L
10-44
-34
+2.5
L
-73
6
LAR logo
LAR
L
03-17
-14
+7
L
-25
7BYE WEEK
8
CHI logo
CHI
W
30-16
+14
-2.5
W
150
9
MIA logo
MIA@
W
28-06
+22
-7.5
W
33
10
MIN logo
MIN@
W
27-19
+8
-4.5
W
8
11
CLE logo
CLE@
W
23-16
+7
-7.5
L
-18
12
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
23-10
+13
-13.5
L
-10
13
CIN logo
CIN
L
14-32
-18
-7.5
L
-30
14
PIT logo
PIT
L
22-27
-5
-5.5
L
-9
15
CIN logo
CIN@
12/14
-
-2.5
-
-
16
NE logo
NE
12/21
-
-
-
17
GB logo
GB@
12/28
-
-
-
18
PIT logo
PIT@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
18th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
26th
EPA / Rush
+0.05
5th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.06
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.04
16th
Sack EPA
-4.91
23rd
Turnover EPA
-6.76
5th
Point Differential
-0.7
18th
Points For
23.9
13th
Points Against
24.6
22nd
Total Yards
325.3
19th
Passing Yards
182.4
15th
Rushing Yards
142.9
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
347.9
25th
Passing Allowed
198.6
26th
Rushing Allowed
111.9
15th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
21st
4th Down
57%
16th
Red Zone
45%
30th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
11th
4th Down
59%
18th
Red Zone
53%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
23rd
Created
1.2
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
14th
Created
0.5
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
28th
Created
0.6
5th