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  4. 2013
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2013 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-5
nfelo Rating
15788th
Point Diff / Game
+6.65th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1095th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA
L
07-12
-5
+3
L
-35
2
BUF logo
BUF@
L
23-24
-1
-3.5
L
-3
3
NYG logo
NYG
W
38-00
+38
+2.5
W
18
4BYE WEEK
5
ARI logo
ARI@
L
06-22
-16
-3
L
-24
6
MIN logo
MIN@
W
35-10
+25
+2.5
W
24
7
LAR logo
LAR
W
30-15
+15
-7.5
W
9
8
TB logo
TB@
W
31-13
+18
-7
W
40
9
ATL logo
ATL
W
34-10
+24
-9
W
25
10
SF logo
SF@
W
10-09
+1
+6
W
-4
11
NE logo
NE
W
24-20
+4
-3
W
16
12
MIA logo
MIA@
W
20-16
+4
-4.5
L
1
13
TB logo
TB
W
27-06
+21
-7
W
17
14
NO logo
NO@
L
13-31
-18
+3
L
-19
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
30-20
+10
-10
P
-18
16
NO logo
NO
W
17-13
+4
-3.5
W
-4
17
ATL logo
ATL@
W
21-20
+1
-6
L
-4
18BYE WEEK
19
SF logo
SF
L
10-23
-13
+1.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
15th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
5th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
6th
Sack EPA
-4.47
20th
Turnover EPA
-3.90
30th
Point Differential
+6.6
5th
Points For
22.1
19th
Points Against
15.5
2nd
Total Yards
317.3
26th
Passing Yards
177.2
25th
Rushing Yards
124.6
12th
Total Yards Allowed
302.2
3rd
Passing Allowed
212.9
17th
Rushing Allowed
89.2
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
3rd
4th Down
71%
2nd
Red Zone
53%
15th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
12th
4th Down
25%
1st
Red Zone
42%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
5th
Created
1.9
5th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
14th
Created
1.2
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
1st
Created
0.7
9th