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  4. 2018
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2018 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
131531st
Point Diff / Game
-0.416th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01016th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL
W
16-08
+8
-3
W
18
2
ATL logo
ATL@
L
24-31
-7
+5.5
L
-3
3
CIN logo
CIN
W
31-21
+10
-2.5
W
10
4BYE WEEK
5
NYG logo
NYG
W
33-31
+2
-6.5
L
-29
6
WAS logo
WAS@
L
17-23
-6
-1.5
L
1
7
PHI logo
PHI@
W
21-17
+4
+5
W
23
8
BAL logo
BAL
W
36-21
+15
+2.5
W
20
9
TB logo
TB
W
42-28
+14
-6
W
20
10
PIT logo
PIT@
L
21-52
-31
+3.5
L
-20
11
DET logo
DET@
L
19-20
-1
-4
L
-4
12
SEA logo
SEA
L
27-30
-3
-3
L
-16
13
TB logo
TB@
L
17-24
-7
-3.5
L
-19
14
CLE logo
CLE@
L
20-26
-6
-1
L
-13
15
NO logo
NO
L
09-12
-3
+6
W
-185
16
ATL logo
ATL
L
10-24
-14
+3
L
-4
17
NO logo
NO@
W
33-14
+19
+7.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
14th
EPA / Rush
+0.06
4th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
27th
EPA / Pass
+0.12
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
16th
Sack EPA
-3.26
6th
Turnover EPA
-5.41
19th
Point Differential
-0.4
16th
Points For
23.5
14th
Points Against
23.9
20th
Total Yards
373.5
9th
Passing Yards
209.5
17th
Rushing Yards
133.5
4th
Total Yards Allowed
353.4
16th
Passing Allowed
223.6
23rd
Rushing Allowed
112.9
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
10th
4th Down
47%
26th
Red Zone
62%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
20th
4th Down
59%
18th
Red Zone
70%
28th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
18th
Created
1.4
15th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
25th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
9th
Created
0.6
10th