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  4. 2020
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
147219th
Point Diff / Game
-3.323rd
Net EPA / Play
-0.05822nd

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK
L
30-34
-4
+3
L
-10
2
TB logo
TB@
L
17-31
-14
+8.5
L
-45
3
LAC logo
LAC@
W
21-16
+5
+6
W
11
4
ARI logo
ARI
W
31-21
+10
+3
W
37
5
ATL logo
ATL@
W
23-16
+7
+2.5
W
20
6
CHI logo
CHI
L
16-23
-7
-1.5
L
-16
7
NO logo
NO@
L
24-27
-3
+7
W
13
8
ATL logo
ATL
L
17-25
-8
-1.5
L
-17
9
KC logo
KC@
L
31-33
-2
+10
W
45
10
TB logo
TB
L
23-46
-23
+6.5
L
-214
11
DET logo
DET
W
20-00
+20
+3
W
246
12
MIN logo
MIN@
L
27-28
-1
+3
W
0
13BYE WEEK
14
DEN logo
DEN
L
27-32
-5
-4
L
-17
15
GB logo
GB@
L
16-24
-8
+9.5
W
-6
16
WAS logo
WAS@
W
20-13
+7
-1
W
-4
17
NO logo
NO
L
07-33
-26
+6
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.02
13th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.08
25th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
21st
EPA / Rush
+0.03
25th
Sack EPA
-3.69
12th
Turnover EPA
-5.13
21st
Point Differential
-3.3
23rd
Points For
21.9
24th
Points Against
25.1
18th
Total Yards
349.6
21st
Passing Yards
189.6
20th
Rushing Yards
106.5
20th
Total Yards Allowed
360.2
16th
Passing Allowed
198.3
14th
Rushing Allowed
121.0
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
24th
4th Down
56%
20th
Red Zone
51%
28th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
49%
31st
4th Down
60%
21st
Red Zone
62%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
21st
Created
1.3
17th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
27th
Created
0.4
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
12th
Created
0.8
1st