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    • Games
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Chicago Bears

NFC North

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1470
Week 5, 2025
Best nfelo
1621
Week 18, 2018
Worst nfelo
1348
Week 18, 2022

Season History

2025
2-2
PF: 25.3 |PA: 29.3
nfelo: 1485
Rank #20
2024
5-12
PF: 18.2 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1449
Rank #23
2023
7-10
PF: 21.2 |PA: 22.3
nfelo: 1490
Rank #17
2022
3-14
PF: 19.2 |PA: 27.2
nfelo: 1214
Rank #32
2021
6-11
PF: 18.3 |PA: 23.9
nfelo: 1419
Rank #25
2020
8-9
PF: 22.4 |PA: 23.0
nfelo: 1519
Rank #13
2019
8-8
PF: 17.5 |PA: 18.6
nfelo: 1458
Rank #21
2018
12-5
PF: 25.6 |PA: 17.6
nfelo: 1648
Rank #3
2017
5-11
PF: 16.5 |PA: 20.0
nfelo: 1427
Rank #23
2016
3-13
PF: 17.4 |PA: 24.9
nfelo: 1401
Rank #27
2015
6-10
PF: 20.9 |PA: 24.8
nfelo: 1430
Rank #22
2014
5-11
PF: 19.9 |PA: 27.6
nfelo: 1390
Rank #28
2013
8-8
PF: 27.8 |PA: 29.9
nfelo: 1494
Rank #15
2012
10-6
PF: 23.4 |PA: 17.3
nfelo: 1553
Rank #12
2011
8-8
PF: 22.1 |PA: 21.3
nfelo: 1539
Rank #15
2010
12-6
PF: 21.3 |PA: 18.4
nfelo: 1563
Rank #12
2009
7-9
PF: 20.4 |PA: 23.4
nfelo: 1432
Rank #23
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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