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  4. 2010
CHI logo

Chicago Bears

2010 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
156212th
Point Diff / Game
+2.911th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04012th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET
W
19-14
+5
-6.5
L
-28
2
DAL logo
DAL@
W
27-20
+7
+7
W
23
3
GB logo
GB
W
20-17
+3
+3
W
20
4
NYG logo
NYG@
L
03-17
-14
+3.5
L
-84
5
CAR logo
CAR@
W
23-06
+17
+3
W
79
6
SEA logo
SEA
L
20-23
-3
-6
L
-20
7
WAS logo
WAS
L
14-17
-3
-3
L
-14
8BYE WEEK
9
BUF logo
BUF@
W
22-19
+3
-3
P
17
10
MIN logo
MIN
W
27-13
+14
+1
W
13
11
MIA logo
MIA@
W
16-00
+16
+2.5
W
23
12
PHI logo
PHI
W
31-26
+5
+3
W
13
13
DET logo
DET@
W
24-20
+4
-5.5
L
-2
14
NE logo
NE
L
07-36
-29
+3
L
-31
15
MIN logo
MIN@
W
40-14
+26
-5.5
W
85
16
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
38-34
+4
-2.5
W
4
17
GB logo
GB@
L
03-10
-7
+12
W
-25
18BYE WEEK
19
SEA logo
SEA
W
35-24
+11
-10
W
-14
20
GB logo
GB
L
14-21
-7
+3.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.09
26th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
12th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.13
1st
EPA / Pass
-0.08
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
3rd
Sack EPA
-6.06
32nd
Turnover EPA
-8.38
7th
Point Differential
+2.9
11th
Points For
21.3
21st
Points Against
18.4
4th
Total Yards
298.4
29th
Passing Yards
194.2
11th
Rushing Yards
104.2
19th
Total Yards Allowed
314.5
10th
Passing Allowed
159.2
3rd
Rushing Allowed
88.6
2nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
33%
27th
4th Down
36%
28th
Red Zone
49%
23rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
2nd
4th Down
46%
17th
Red Zone
50%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
24th
Created
2.1
5th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.4
30th
Created
1.3
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
8th
Created
0.8
7th