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CHI logo

Chicago Bears

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-14
nfelo Rating
121432nd
Point Diff / Game
-8.131st
Net EPA / Play
-0.15232nd

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF
W
19-10
+9
+6.5
W
2
2
GB logo
GB@
L
10-27
-17
+10
L
-58
3
HOU logo
HOU
W
23-20
+3
-3
P
-8
4
NYG logo
NYG@
L
12-20
-8
+3
L
-9
5
MIN logo
MIN@
L
22-29
-7
+8.5
W
11
6
WAS logo
WAS
L
07-12
-5
+1
L
-13
7
NE logo
NE@
W
33-14
+19
+8.5
W
38
8
DAL logo
DAL@
L
29-49
-20
+9.5
L
2
9
MIA logo
MIA
L
32-35
-3
+4
W
20
10
DET logo
DET
L
30-31
-1
-3
L
5
11
ATL logo
ATL@
L
24-27
-3
+2
L
-46
12
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
10-31
-21
+3.5
L
34
13
GB logo
GB
L
19-28
-9
+3.5
L
-2
14BYE WEEK
15
PHI logo
PHI
L
20-25
-5
+8.5
W
5
16
BUF logo
BUF
L
13-35
-22
+8
L
-19
17
DET logo
DET@
L
10-41
-31
+4
L
-176
18
MIN logo
MIN
L
13-29
-16
+6
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
21st
EPA / Pass
-0.27
32nd
EPA / Rush
+0.09
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.09
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.17
32nd
EPA / Rush
+0.04
27th
Sack EPA
-5.49
28th
Turnover EPA
-4.43
25th
Point Differential
-8.1
31st
Points For
19.2
23rd
Points Against
27.2
32nd
Total Yards
307.9
28th
Passing Yards
115.7
32nd
Rushing Yards
177.3
1st
Total Yards Allowed
376.4
29th
Passing Allowed
162.6
6th
Rushing Allowed
157.4
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
13th
4th Down
32%
31st
Red Zone
56%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
49%
32nd
4th Down
40%
4th
Red Zone
65%
27th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
25th
Created
1.4
15th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
22nd
Created
0.8
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
20th
Created
0.5
14th