nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. teams...
  3. chi...
  4. 2025
CHI logo

Chicago Bears

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Overview

Record
9-4
nfelo Rating
149918th
Point Diff / Game
-0.115th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00816th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN
L
24-27
-3
-1
L
3
2
DET logo
DET@
L
21-52
-31
+6.5
L
-15
3
DAL logo
DAL
W
31-14
+17
+1.5
W
22
4
OAK logo
OAK@
W
25-24
+1
+1.5
W
-8
5BYE WEEK
6
WAS logo
WAS@
W
25-24
+1
+5.5
W
7
7
NO logo
NO
W
26-14
+12
-3.5
W
-2
8
BAL logo
BAL@
L
16-30
-14
+2.5
L
-21
9
CIN logo
CIN@
W
47-42
+5
-3
W
46
10
NYG logo
NYG
W
24-20
+4
-4.5
L
-8
11
MIN logo
MIN@
W
19-17
+2
+2.5
W
-2
12
PIT logo
PIT
W
31-28
+3
-3
P
3
13
PHI logo
PHI@
W
24-15
+9
+7
W
3
14
GB logo
GB@
L
21-28
-7
+6.5
L
-3
15
CLE logo
CLE
12/14
-
-7.5
-
-
16
GB logo
GB
12/19
-
-
-
17
SF logo
SF@
12/28
-
-
-
18
DET logo
DET
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
12th
EPA / Rush
+0.07
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.00
23rd
Sack EPA
-2.55
4th
Turnover EPA
-3.22
28th
Point Differential
-0.1
15th
Points For
25.7
8th
Points Against
25.8
25th
Total Yards
369.8
5th
Passing Yards
177.2
18th
Rushing Yards
152.8
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
357.8
27th
Passing Allowed
161.3
6th
Rushing Allowed
132.5
27th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
5th
4th Down
45%
26th
Red Zone
57%
20th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
15th
4th Down
50%
9th
Red Zone
62%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
3rd
Created
2.1
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
4th
Created
1.4
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
5th
Created
0.7
3rd