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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2009 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-7
nfelo Rating
143422nd
Point Diff / Game
+0.217th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00717th

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN
L
07-12
-5
-4.5
L
-26
2
GB logo
GB@
W
31-24
+7
+8
W
14
3
PIT logo
PIT
W
23-20
+3
+3
W
21
4
CLE logo
CLE@
W
23-20
+3
-6.5
L
-0
5
BAL logo
BAL@
W
17-14
+3
+9
W
17
6
HOU logo
HOU
L
17-28
-11
-4
L
-9
7
CHI logo
CHI
W
45-10
+35
+2
W
28
8BYE WEEK
9
BAL logo
BAL
W
17-07
+10
+3
W
18
10
PIT logo
PIT@
W
18-12
+6
+7
W
8
11
OAK logo
OAK@
L
17-20
-3
-8.5
L
-8
12
CLE logo
CLE
W
16-07
+9
-12.5
L
-12
13
DET logo
DET
W
23-13
+10
-13.5
L
-15
14
MIN logo
MIN@
L
10-30
-20
+6.5
L
-10
15
LAC logo
LAC@
L
24-27
-3
+7
W
31
16
KC logo
KC
W
17-10
+7
-13.5
L
-15
17
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
00-37
-37
+10
L
-68
18
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
14-24
-10
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
19th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
12th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
14th
Sack EPA
-3.81
17th
Turnover EPA
-6.63
17th
Point Differential
+0.2
17th
Points For
18.8
22nd
Points Against
18.5
5th
Total Yards
307.7
24th
Passing Yards
162.9
21st
Rushing Yards
131.1
7th
Total Yards Allowed
304.4
5th
Passing Allowed
176.6
12th
Rushing Allowed
102.6
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
14th
4th Down
67%
4th
Red Zone
48%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
13th
4th Down
47%
12th
Red Zone
48%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
13th
Created
1.5
24th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
8th
Created
1.1
11th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
21st
Created
0.4
32nd