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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2011 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
148122nd
Point Diff / Game
0.019th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00417th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE@
W
27-17
+10
+7
W
5
2
DEN logo
DEN@
L
22-24
-2
+3
W
13
3
SF logo
SF
L
08-13
-5
-1
L
-43
4
BUF logo
BUF
W
23-20
+3
+3
W
8
5
JAX logo
JAX@
W
30-20
+10
-2.5
W
38
6
IND logo
IND
W
27-17
+10
-4.5
W
10
7BYE WEEK
8
SEA logo
SEA@
W
34-12
+22
-1.5
W
8
9
TEN logo
TEN@
W
24-17
+7
+2.5
W
21
10
PIT logo
PIT
L
17-24
-7
+4
L
-14
11
BAL logo
BAL@
L
24-31
-7
+7
P
1
12
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-20
+3
-6.5
L
-0
13
PIT logo
PIT@
L
07-35
-28
+7
L
-17
14
HOU logo
HOU
L
19-20
-1
-2.5
L
-6
15
LAR logo
LAR@
W
20-13
+7
-7
P
9
16
ARI logo
ARI
W
23-16
+7
-4
W
-2
17
BAL logo
BAL
L
16-24
-8
+3
L
-7
18
HOU logo
HOU@
L
10-31
-21
+4
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
19th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
21st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
10th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
14th
Sack EPA
-2.65
4th
Turnover EPA
-5.63
26th
Point Differential
--
19th
Points For
20.8
19th
Points Against
20.8
12th
Total Yards
318.7
22nd
Passing Yards
184.1
19th
Rushing Yards
109.1
21st
Total Yards Allowed
317.6
6th
Passing Allowed
208.1
19th
Rushing Allowed
109.6
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
16th
4th Down
33%
25th
Red Zone
44%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
14th
4th Down
36%
8th
Red Zone
60%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
11th
Created
1.3
23rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
19th
Created
0.6
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
4th
Created
0.7
9th