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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2013 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
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    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
16294th
Point Diff / Game
+6.47th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1006th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CHI logo
CHI@
L
21-24
-3
+3
P
10
2
PIT logo
PIT
W
20-10
+10
-6.5
W
23
3
GB logo
GB
W
34-30
+4
+3
W
-0
4
CLE logo
CLE@
L
06-17
-11
-3.5
L
-26
5
NE logo
NE
W
13-06
+7
+2
W
11
6
BUF logo
BUF@
W
27-24
+3
-6
L
2
7
DET logo
DET@
W
27-24
+3
+2.5
W
24
8
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
49-09
+40
-6
W
23
9
MIA logo
MIA@
L
20-22
-2
-3
L
-17
10
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-20
-3
+1.5
L
-33
11
CLE logo
CLE
W
41-20
+21
-4.5
W
16
12BYE WEEK
13
LAC logo
LAC@
W
17-10
+7
-2
W
16
14
IND logo
IND
W
42-28
+14
-7
W
24
15
PIT logo
PIT@
L
20-30
-10
-2.5
L
-7
16
MIN logo
MIN
W
42-14
+28
-7.5
W
22
17
BAL logo
BAL
W
34-17
+17
-7
W
7
18
LAC logo
LAC
L
10-27
-17
-6.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
20th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.08
3rd
EPA / Pass
-0.10
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.10
11th
Sack EPA
-3.15
4th
Turnover EPA
-9.15
5th
Point Differential
+6.4
7th
Points For
25.9
8th
Points Against
19.5
5th
Total Yards
372.4
9th
Passing Yards
195.2
22nd
Rushing Yards
109.9
18th
Total Yards Allowed
306.4
4th
Passing Allowed
149.5
1st
Rushing Allowed
102.5
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
11th
4th Down
54%
13th
Red Zone
71%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
2nd
4th Down
31%
5th
Red Zone
51%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
27th
Created
1.8
8th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
26th
Created
1.2
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
24th
Created
0.6
15th