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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2016 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-9-1
nfelo Rating
150318th
Point Diff / Game
+0.618th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00917th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
23-22
+1
-1
P
-1
2
PIT logo
PIT@
L
16-24
-8
+3
L
-1
3
DEN logo
DEN
L
17-29
-12
-3.5
L
-34
4
MIA logo
MIA
W
22-07
+15
-7.5
W
9
5
DAL logo
DAL@
L
14-28
-14
-2.5
L
-7
6
NE logo
NE@
L
17-35
-18
+7.5
L
-5
7
CLE logo
CLE
W
31-17
+14
-11.5
W
6
8
WAS logo
WAS
T
27-27
0
-3
L
-7
9BYE WEEK
10
NYG logo
NYG@
L
20-21
-1
-22
11
BUF logo
BUF
L
12-16
-4
-2.5
L
-10
12
BAL logo
BAL@
L
14-19
-5
+3.5
L
-10
13
PHI logo
PHI
W
32-14
+18
-1.5
W
20
14
CLE logo
CLE@
W
23-10
+13
-5
W
4
15
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-24
-4
+3
L
-19
16
HOU logo
HOU@
L
10-12
-2
+3
W
-27
17
BAL logo
BAL
W
27-10
+17
+2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
10th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
5th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.03
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
21st
Sack EPA
-3.81
14th
Turnover EPA
-3.71
27th
Point Differential
+0.6
18th
Points For
20.3
24th
Points Against
19.7
7th
Total Yards
356.9
12th
Passing Yards
225.6
9th
Rushing Yards
110.6
13th
Total Yards Allowed
350.8
17th
Passing Allowed
237.5
25th
Rushing Allowed
113.3
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
16th
4th Down
78%
3rd
Red Zone
54%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
16th
4th Down
47%
14th
Red Zone
51%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
5th
Created
1.4
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
6th
Created
1.1
4th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.3
27th