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  4. 2012
CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
134528th
Point Diff / Game
-4.124th
Net EPA / Play
-0.06323rd

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PHI logo
PHI
L
16-17
-1
+9
W
-16
2
CIN logo
CIN@
L
27-34
-7
+7
P
4
3
BUF logo
BUF
L
14-24
-10
+3
L
-33
4
BAL logo
BAL@
L
16-23
-7
+11
W
26
5
NYG logo
NYG@
L
27-41
-14
+8
L
12
6
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-24
+10
+1.5
W
17
7
IND logo
IND@
L
13-17
-4
+1
L
7
8
LAC logo
LAC
W
07-06
+1
+3
W
-5
9
BAL logo
BAL
L
15-25
-10
+3.5
L
-12
10BYE WEEK
11
DAL logo
DAL@
L
20-23
-3
+7
W
18
12
PIT logo
PIT
W
20-14
+6
+1
W
15
13
OAK logo
OAK@
W
20-17
+3
-2.5
W
32
14
KC logo
KC
W
30-07
+23
-7
W
8
15
WAS logo
WAS
L
21-38
-17
-4
L
-35
16
DEN logo
DEN@
L
12-34
-22
+11
L
-90
17
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-24
-14
+10
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.07
26th
EPA / Pass
-0.09
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
13th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
11th
Sack EPA
-3.67
15th
Turnover EPA
-6.40
17th
Point Differential
-4.1
24th
Points For
18.9
24th
Points Against
23.0
19th
Total Yards
314.3
25th
Passing Yards
180.0
24th
Rushing Yards
99.6
24th
Total Yards Allowed
363.9
22nd
Passing Allowed
207.9
20th
Rushing Allowed
118.6
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
31%
30th
4th Down
44%
21st
Red Zone
41%
30th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
14th
4th Down
64%
27th
Red Zone
57%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
13th
Created
1.9
5th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
27th
Created
1.1
11th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
3rd
Created
0.9
5th