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CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2013 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
139628th
Point Diff / Game
-6.127th
Net EPA / Play
-0.09724th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIA logo
MIA
L
10-23
-13
-2.5
L
-20
2
BAL logo
BAL@
L
06-14
-8
+6.5
L
-46
3
MIN logo
MIN@
W
31-27
+4
+7
W
15
4
CIN logo
CIN
W
17-06
+11
+3.5
W
35
5
BUF logo
BUF
W
37-24
+13
-3.5
W
37
6
DET logo
DET
L
17-31
-14
+2
L
-27
7
GB logo
GB@
L
13-31
-18
+8.5
L
38
8
KC logo
KC@
L
17-23
-6
+7
W
3
9
BAL logo
BAL
W
24-18
+6
+2
W
21
10BYE WEEK
11
CIN logo
CIN@
L
20-41
-21
+4.5
L
-37
12
PIT logo
PIT
L
11-27
-16
-2.5
L
-70
13
JAX logo
JAX
L
28-32
-4
-7
L
22
14
NE logo
NE@
L
26-27
-1
+10
W
47
15
CHI logo
CHI
L
31-38
-7
+1
L
-33
16
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
13-24
-11
+2.5
L
-22
17
PIT logo
PIT@
L
07-20
-13
+9.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.08
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
14th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
21st
Sack EPA
-5.16
30th
Turnover EPA
-6.93
14th
Point Differential
-6.1
27th
Points For
19.3
27th
Points Against
25.4
23rd
Total Yards
339.5
18th
Passing Yards
236.0
8th
Rushing Yards
86.4
28th
Total Yards Allowed
332.7
9th
Passing Allowed
187.1
9th
Rushing Allowed
111.3
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
25th
4th Down
45%
17th
Red Zone
51%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
31st
4th Down
44%
16th
Red Zone
65%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
22nd
Created
1.4
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
24th
Created
0.9
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
9th
Created
0.5
24th