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  4. 2015
CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-13
nfelo Rating
131731st
Point Diff / Game
-9.632nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.16532nd

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
10-31
-21
+3.5
L
7
2
TEN logo
TEN
W
28-14
+14
+1
W
-12
3
OAK logo
OAK
L
20-27
-7
-3.5
L
-26
4
LAC logo
LAC@
L
27-30
-3
+5
W
29
5
BAL logo
BAL@
W
33-30
+3
+6
W
28
6
DEN logo
DEN
L
23-26
-3
+3
P
-10
7
LAR logo
LAR@
L
06-24
-18
+6
L
-5
8
ARI logo
ARI
L
20-34
-14
+7
L
-76
9
CIN logo
CIN@
L
10-31
-21
+13
L
-7
10
PIT logo
PIT@
L
09-30
-21
+6.5
L
11
11BYE WEEK
12
BAL logo
BAL
L
27-33
-6
-6
L
-95
13
CIN logo
CIN
L
03-37
-34
+7.5
L
40
14
SF logo
SF
W
24-10
+14
-2.5
W
17
15
SEA logo
SEA@
L
13-30
-17
+14.5
L
13
16
KC logo
KC@
L
13-17
-4
+11.5
W
-34
17
PIT logo
PIT
L
12-28
-16
+13
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.11
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.09
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
18th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
29th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
24th
Sack EPA
-6.96
31st
Turnover EPA
-8.33
6th
Point Differential
-9.6
32nd
Points For
17.4
30th
Points Against
27.0
29th
Total Yards
332.2
26th
Passing Yards
228.1
12th
Rushing Yards
95.6
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
379.4
28th
Passing Allowed
165.6
2nd
Rushing Allowed
128.4
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
9th
4th Down
42%
26th
Red Zone
38%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
21st
4th Down
67%
27th
Red Zone
58%
20th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
24th
Created
1.4
15th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
11th
Created
0.7
20th

Fumbles

Lost
1.0
31st
Created
0.8
9th