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CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2020 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
151315th
Point Diff / Game
-0.315th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00114th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BAL logo
BAL@
L
06-38
-32
+7
L
-15
2
CIN logo
CIN
W
35-30
+5
-6
L
16
3
WAS logo
WAS
W
34-20
+14
-7
W
22
4
DAL logo
DAL@
W
49-38
+11
+3.5
W
11
5
IND logo
IND
W
32-23
+9
-1
W
39
6
PIT logo
PIT@
L
07-38
-31
+3
L
-20
7
CIN logo
CIN@
W
37-34
+3
-4
L
11
8
OAK logo
OAK
L
06-16
-10
-1
L
-27
9BYE WEEK
10
HOU logo
HOU
W
10-07
+3
-4.5
L
-3
11
PHI logo
PHI
W
22-17
+5
-2.5
W
-2
12
JAX logo
JAX@
W
27-25
+2
-7.5
L
6
13
TEN logo
TEN@
W
41-35
+6
+4
W
24
14
BAL logo
BAL
L
42-47
-5
+3
L
9
15
NYG logo
NYG@
W
20-06
+14
-6.5
W
24
16
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
16-23
-7
-6.5
L
-73
17
PIT logo
PIT
W
24-22
+2
-10
L
-0
18
PIT logo
PIT@
W
48-37
+11
+4
W
19
19
KC logo
KC@
L
17-22
-5
+7.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.07
8th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
8th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
10th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.13
23rd
EPA / Rush
+0.01
18th
Sack EPA
-2.83
7th
Turnover EPA
-4.70
23rd
Point Differential
-0.3
15th
Points For
26.3
13th
Points Against
26.6
22nd
Total Yards
367.5
16th
Passing Yards
132.4
32nd
Rushing Yards
145.3
4th
Total Yards Allowed
374.3
21st
Passing Allowed
224.7
24th
Rushing Allowed
108.7
9th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
8th
4th Down
41%
27th
Red Zone
73%
4th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
25th
4th Down
84%
32nd
Red Zone
61%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
5th
Created
1.5
5th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
4th
Created
0.9
10th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
18th
Created
0.6
8th