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  4. 2022
CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
151610th
Point Diff / Game
-1.217th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01816th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR@
W
26-24
+2
+1
W
8
2
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
30-31
-1
-6.5
L
5
3
PIT logo
PIT
W
29-17
+12
-4
W
43
4
ATL logo
ATL@
L
20-23
-3
-1
L
-2
5
LAC logo
LAC
L
28-30
-2
+1.5
L
-0
6
NE logo
NE
L
15-38
-23
-2.5
L
-24
7
BAL logo
BAL@
L
20-23
-3
+6.5
W
10
8
CIN logo
CIN
W
32-13
+19
+3
W
36
9BYE WEEK
10
MIA logo
MIA@
L
17-39
-22
+3
L
-10
11
BUF logo
BUF@
L
23-31
-8
+7.5
L
20
12
TB logo
TB
W
23-17
+6
+3
W
82
13
HOU logo
HOU@
W
27-14
+13
-7.5
W
-8
14
CIN logo
CIN@
L
10-23
-13
+6
L
-27
15
BAL logo
BAL
W
13-03
+10
-3
W
-3
16
NO logo
NO
L
10-17
-7
-3
L
-31
17
WAS logo
WAS@
W
24-10
+14
+1
W
5
18
PIT logo
PIT@
L
14-28
-14
+2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
15th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
20th
EPA / Rush
+0.05
4th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
23rd
EPA / Pass
-0.04
11th
EPA / Rush
+0.06
28th
Sack EPA
-4.36
19th
Turnover EPA
-4.19
28th
Point Differential
-1.2
17th
Points For
21.2
17th
Points Against
22.4
19th
Total Yards
349.2
15th
Passing Yards
189.1
14th
Rushing Yards
146.6
5th
Total Yards Allowed
331.4
12th
Passing Allowed
179.1
16th
Rushing Allowed
135.0
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
21st
4th Down
55%
8th
Red Zone
53%
20th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
44%
9th
Red Zone
55%
15th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
14th
Created
1.2
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
10th
Created
0.6
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
11th
Created
0.5
14th