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  4. 2024
CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-14
nfelo Rating
137428th
Point Diff / Game
-10.431st
Net EPA / Play
-0.18231st

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL
L
17-33
-16
-2
L
-22
2
JAX logo
JAX@
W
18-13
+5
+3
W
9
3
NYG logo
NYG
L
15-21
-6
-6.5
L
-21
4
OAK logo
OAK@
L
16-20
-4
-2
L
-4
5
WAS logo
WAS@
L
13-34
-21
+3
L
-31
6
PHI logo
PHI@
L
16-20
-4
+8.5
W
-3
7
CIN logo
CIN
L
14-21
-7
+5.5
L
27
8
BAL logo
BAL
W
29-24
+5
+7.5
W
19
9
LAC logo
LAC
L
10-27
-17
+2
L
-65
10BYE WEEK
11
NO logo
NO@
L
14-35
-21
-1
L
-3
12
PIT logo
PIT
W
24-19
+5
+3.5
W
13
13
DEN logo
DEN@
L
32-41
-9
+6
L
3
14
PIT logo
PIT@
L
14-27
-13
+6
L
-11
15
KC logo
KC
L
07-21
-14
+4.5
L
-97
16
CIN logo
CIN@
L
06-24
-18
+10
L
-12
17
MIA logo
MIA
L
03-20
-17
+3
L
43
18
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-35
-25
+20
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.20
32nd
EPA / Pass
-0.27
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.07
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.07
9th
Sack EPA
-6.75
31st
Turnover EPA
-9.60
1st
Point Differential
-10.4
31st
Points For
15.2
32nd
Points Against
25.6
27th
Total Yards
301.4
28th
Passing Yards
206.8
12th
Rushing Yards
94.6
29th
Total Yards Allowed
342.1
18th
Passing Allowed
171.8
10th
Rushing Allowed
129.7
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
30%
32nd
4th Down
55%
18th
Red Zone
49%
27th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
6th
4th Down
44%
3rd
Red Zone
62%
25th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
31st
Created
0.8
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.4
32nd
Created
0.2
32nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
17th
Created
0.6
8th