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  4. 2012
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
154114th
Point Diff / Game
-1.519th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03119th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG@
W
24-17
+7
+3.5
W
14
2
SEA logo
SEA@
L
07-27
-20
-3
L
-15
3
TB logo
TB
W
16-10
+6
-7.5
L
-12
4
CHI logo
CHI
L
18-34
-16
-3
L
-16
5BYE WEEK
6
BAL logo
BAL@
L
29-31
-2
+3
W
17
7
CAR logo
CAR@
W
19-14
+5
-2.5
W
44
8
NYG logo
NYG
L
24-29
-5
+3
L
-27
9
ATL logo
ATL@
L
13-19
-6
+4
L
10
10
PHI logo
PHI@
W
38-23
+15
-2.5
W
44
11
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-20
+3
-7
L
-17
12
WAS logo
WAS
L
31-38
-7
-3.5
L
-28
13
PHI logo
PHI
W
38-33
+5
-10.5
L
-1
14
CIN logo
CIN@
W
20-19
+1
+3
W
0
15
PIT logo
PIT
W
27-24
+3
+2.5
W
7
16
NO logo
NO
L
31-34
-3
-2.5
L
-2
17
WAS logo
WAS@
L
18-28
-10
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.03
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.12
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
24th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
25th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
16th
Sack EPA
-3.94
20th
Turnover EPA
-7.52
9th
Point Differential
-1.5
19th
Points For
23.5
14th
Points Against
25.0
24th
Total Yards
375.0
8th
Passing Yards
281.6
1st
Rushing Yards
79.2
31st
Total Yards Allowed
355.4
18th
Passing Allowed
202.4
16th
Rushing Allowed
125.2
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
5th
4th Down
73%
1st
Red Zone
51%
20th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
23rd
4th Down
55%
22nd
Red Zone
55%
19th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
25th
Created
0.9
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
28th
Created
0.4
31st

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
19th
Created
0.5
22nd