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DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
153015th
Point Diff / Game
+0.514th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00613th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR@
L
08-16
-8
+3
L
-27
2
NYG logo
NYG
W
20-13
+7
-3
W
1
3
SEA logo
SEA@
L
13-24
-11
+1.5
L
-30
4
DET logo
DET
W
26-24
+2
-2.5
L
1
5
HOU logo
HOU@
L
16-19
-3
+3.5
W
-8
6
JAX logo
JAX
W
40-07
+33
+3
W
24
7
WAS logo
WAS@
L
17-20
-3
-1.5
L
-2
8BYE WEEK
9
TEN logo
TEN
L
14-28
-14
-5
L
-14
10
PHI logo
PHI@
W
27-20
+7
+7.5
W
13
11
ATL logo
ATL@
W
22-19
+3
+3.5
W
5
12
WAS logo
WAS
W
31-23
+8
-7
W
5
13
NO logo
NO
W
13-10
+3
+7.5
W
7
14
PHI logo
PHI
W
29-23
+6
-3.5
W
15
15
IND logo
IND@
L
00-23
-23
+3
L
-33
16
TB logo
TB
W
27-20
+7
-7
P
0
17
NYG logo
NYG@
W
36-35
+1
+7
W
4
18
SEA logo
SEA
W
24-22
+2
-2.5
L
-0
19
LAR logo
LAR@
L
22-30
-8
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.00
7th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
4th
Sack EPA
-5.24
22nd
Turnover EPA
-4.57
25th
Point Differential
+0.5
14th
Points For
21.4
21st
Points Against
20.9
7th
Total Yards
344.2
22nd
Passing Yards
214.0
15th
Rushing Yards
121.1
10th
Total Yards Allowed
335.1
8th
Passing Allowed
210.6
16th
Rushing Allowed
103.5
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
15th
4th Down
60%
10th
Red Zone
52%
26th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
24th
4th Down
56%
16th
Red Zone
51%
7th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
3rd
Created
1.1
24th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
4th
Created
0.5
27th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.6
12th