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  4. 2019
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
157310th
Point Diff / Game
+7.15th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1206th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG
W
35-17
+18
-7
W
36
2
WAS logo
WAS@
W
31-21
+10
-6
W
35
3
MIA logo
MIA
W
31-06
+25
-22.5
W
11
4
NO logo
NO@
L
10-12
-2
-2.5
L
-13
5
GB logo
GB
L
24-34
-10
-3.5
L
-24
6
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
22-24
-2
-7
L
-8
7
PHI logo
PHI
W
37-10
+27
-3
W
10
8BYE WEEK
9
NYG logo
NYG@
W
37-18
+19
-6.5
W
9
10
MIN logo
MIN
L
24-28
-4
-3
L
-3
11
DET logo
DET@
W
35-27
+8
-7
W
10
12
NE logo
NE@
L
09-13
-4
+5.5
W
4
13
BUF logo
BUF
L
15-26
-11
-6.5
L
-10
14
CHI logo
CHI@
L
24-31
-7
-3
L
-12
15
LAR logo
LAR
W
44-21
+23
+1
W
12
16
PHI logo
PHI@
L
09-17
-8
-2.5
L
-17
17
WAS logo
WAS
W
47-16
+31
-12.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.07
3rd
EPA / Pass
+0.19
3rd
EPA / Rush
+0.03
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
14th
Sack EPA
-3.01
4th
Turnover EPA
-4.87
24th
Point Differential
+7.1
5th
Points For
27.1
6th
Points Against
20.1
9th
Total Yards
431.8
1st
Passing Yards
229.2
6th
Rushing Yards
134.7
4th
Total Yards Allowed
327.3
9th
Passing Allowed
223.6
22nd
Rushing Allowed
103.6
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
2nd
4th Down
44%
20th
Red Zone
57%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
3rd
4th Down
45%
12th
Red Zone
51%
6th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
9th
Created
1.1
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
14th
Created
0.4
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
4th
Created
0.6
12th