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DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
143523rd
Point Diff / Game
-4.925th
Net EPA / Play
-0.08526th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAR logo
LAR@
L
17-20
-3
-7
2
ATL logo
ATL
W
40-39
+1
-3
L
13
3
SEA logo
SEA@
L
31-38
-7
+5.5
L
-9
4
CLE logo
CLE
L
38-49
-11
-3.5
L
-2
5
NYG logo
NYG
W
37-34
+3
-7.5
L
-150
6
ARI logo
ARI
L
10-38
-28
-1
L
-11
7
WAS logo
WAS@
L
03-25
-22
-118
8
PHI logo
PHI@
L
09-23
-14
+10
L
3
9
PIT logo
PIT
L
19-24
-5
+14
W
78
10BYE WEEK
11
MIN logo
MIN@
W
31-28
+3
+7
W
21
12
WAS logo
WAS
L
16-41
-25
-2.5
L
-8
13
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-34
-17
+9
L
7
14
CIN logo
CIN@
W
30-07
+23
-3
W
16
15
SF logo
SF
W
41-33
+8
+4
W
15
16
PHI logo
PHI
W
37-17
+20
+3
W
24
17
NYG logo
NYG@
L
19-23
-4
-1.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
24th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
18th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.08
18th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
26th
Sack EPA
-6.22
31st
Turnover EPA
-8.11
4th
Point Differential
-4.9
25th
Points For
24.7
17th
Points Against
29.6
28th
Total Yards
372.3
13th
Passing Yards
260.2
4th
Rushing Yards
112.1
17th
Total Yards Allowed
386.9
23rd
Passing Allowed
202.0
16th
Rushing Allowed
158.9
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
20th
4th Down
55%
22nd
Red Zone
50%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
47%
27th
4th Down
48%
11th
Red Zone
62%
20th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.7
28th
Created
1.4
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
0.6
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
31st
Created
0.8
2nd