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DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
17043rd
Point Diff / Game
+9.22nd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1632nd

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TB logo
TB@
L
29-31
-2
+9
W
12
2
LAC logo
LAC@
W
20-17
+3
+3
W
2
3
PHI logo
PHI
W
41-21
+20
-3.5
W
7
4
CAR logo
CAR
W
36-28
+8
-4.5
W
19
5
NYG logo
NYG
W
44-20
+24
-7
W
13
6
NE logo
NE@
W
35-29
+6
-3.5
W
-243
7BYE WEEK
8
MIN logo
MIN@
W
20-16
+4
+4.5
W
312
9
DEN logo
DEN
L
16-30
-14
-10
L
-22
10
ATL logo
ATL
W
43-03
+40
-8
W
16
11
KC logo
KC@
L
09-19
-10
+2.5
L
-33
12
OAK logo
OAK
L
33-36
-3
-7
L
-23
13
NO logo
NO@
W
27-17
+10
-6
W
12
14
WAS logo
WAS@
W
27-20
+7
-6.5
W
2
15
NYG logo
NYG@
W
21-06
+15
-12
W
21
16
WAS logo
WAS
W
56-14
+42
-10
W
31
17
ARI logo
ARI
L
22-25
-3
-6
L
-3
18
PHI logo
PHI@
W
51-26
+25
-6.5
W
47
19
SF logo
SF
L
17-23
-6
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
20th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.11
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.15
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.02
18th
Sack EPA
-3.85
13th
Turnover EPA
-5.06
20th
Point Differential
+9.2
2nd
Points For
30.4
1st
Points Against
21.2
8th
Total Yards
402.1
2nd
Passing Yards
226.9
7th
Rushing Yards
122.4
9th
Total Yards Allowed
350.9
18th
Passing Allowed
187.8
9th
Rushing Allowed
116.2
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
10th
4th Down
58%
12th
Red Zone
64%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
2nd
4th Down
62%
25th
Red Zone
62%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
10th
Created
2.0
2nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
7th
Created
1.5
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
12th
Created
0.5
9th