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  4. 2024
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
143424th
Point Diff / Game
-6.926th
Net EPA / Play
-0.12826th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE@
W
33-17
+16
+2
W
6
2
NO logo
NO
L
19-44
-25
-6.5
L
-17
3
BAL logo
BAL
L
25-28
-3
+1.5
L
-25
4
NYG logo
NYG@
W
20-15
+5
-5.5
L
5
5
PIT logo
PIT@
W
20-17
+3
+2.5
W
8
6
DET logo
DET
L
09-47
-38
+3.5
L
-45
7BYE WEEK
8
SF logo
SF@
L
24-30
-6
+5.5
L
-2
9
ATL logo
ATL@
L
21-27
-6
+3
L
-75
10
PHI logo
PHI
L
06-34
-28
+7.5
L
-50
11
HOU logo
HOU
L
10-34
-24
+7
L
-37
12
WAS logo
WAS@
W
34-26
+8
+10.5
W
22
13
NYG logo
NYG
W
27-20
+7
-4.5
W
22
14
CIN logo
CIN
L
20-27
-7
+5
L
-6
15
CAR logo
CAR@
W
30-14
+16
+3
W
20
16
TB logo
TB
W
26-24
+2
+4.5
W
14
17
PHI logo
PHI@
L
07-41
-34
+7.5
L
-8
18
WAS logo
WAS
L
19-23
-4
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
30th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
27th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
15th
EPA / Rush
+0.12
31st
Sack EPA
-4.39
19th
Turnover EPA
-7.49
5th
Point Differential
-6.9
26th
Points For
20.6
21st
Points Against
27.5
31st
Total Yards
327.6
16th
Passing Yards
215.8
6th
Rushing Yards
100.3
27th
Total Yards Allowed
355.4
28th
Passing Allowed
195.8
19th
Rushing Allowed
137.2
29th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
23rd
4th Down
36%
32nd
Red Zone
46%
31st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
9th
4th Down
68%
27th
Red Zone
74%
32nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
28th
Created
1.3
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
21st
Created
0.8
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
32nd
Created
0.5
11th