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  4. 2025
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

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Season Overview

Record
6-6-1
nfelo Rating
151215th
Point Diff / Game
-0.417th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00717th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PHI logo
PHI@
L
20-24
-4
+8.5
W
3
2
NYG logo
NYG
W
40-37
+3
-4.5
L
-2
3
CHI logo
CHI@
L
14-31
-17
-1.5
L
-14
4
GB logo
GB
T
40-40
0
+6.5
W
18
5
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
37-22
+15
+1.5
W
16
6
CAR logo
CAR@
L
27-30
-3
-3
L
-3
7
WAS logo
WAS
W
44-22
+22
-1.5
W
30
8
DEN logo
DEN@
L
24-44
-20
+3.5
L
-22
9
ARI logo
ARI
L
17-27
-10
-3.5
L
-23
10BYE WEEK
11
OAK logo
OAK@
W
33-16
+17
-3.5
W
20
12
PHI logo
PHI
W
24-21
+3
+3
W
13
13
KC logo
KC
W
31-28
+3
+3.5
W
9
14
DET logo
DET@
L
30-44
-14
+3.5
L
-15
15
MIN logo
MIN
12/14
-
-6
-
-
16
LAC logo
LAC
12/21
-
-
-
17
WAS logo
WAS@
12/25
-
-
-
18
NYG logo
NYG@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.15
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.17
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
20th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.16
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.18
30th
EPA / Rush
+0.09
31st
Sack EPA
-3.01
6th
Turnover EPA
-5.34
14th
Point Differential
-0.4
17th
Points For
29.3
3rd
Points Against
29.7
31st
Total Yards
395.4
1st
Passing Yards
216.6
5th
Rushing Yards
119.5
16th
Total Yards Allowed
378.9
29th
Passing Allowed
213.5
32nd
Rushing Allowed
123.5
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
6th
4th Down
55%
17th
Red Zone
59%
15th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
48%
31st
4th Down
59%
19th
Red Zone
72%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
25th
Created
0.7
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
22nd
Created
0.4
28th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
25th
Created
0.3
25th