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  4. 2025
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9-1
nfelo Rating
148517th
Point Diff / Game
-2.420th
Net EPA / Play
-0.05320th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PHI logo
PHI@
L
20-24
-4
+8.5
W
3
2
NYG logo
NYG
W
40-37
+3
-4.5
L
-0
3
CHI logo
CHI@
L
14-31
-17
-1.5
L
-14
4
GB logo
GB
T
40-40
0
+6.5
W
18
5
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
37-22
+15
+1.5
W
15
6
CAR logo
CAR@
L
27-30
-3
-3
L
-3
7
WAS logo
WAS
W
44-22
+22
-1.5
W
26
8
DEN logo
DEN@
L
24-44
-20
+3.5
L
-22
9
ARI logo
ARI
L
17-27
-10
-3.5
L
-23
10BYE WEEK
11
OAK logo
OAK@
W
33-16
+17
-3.5
W
20
12
PHI logo
PHI
W
24-21
+3
+3
W
13
13
KC logo
KC
W
31-28
+3
+3.5
W
9
14
DET logo
DET@
L
30-44
-14
+3.5
L
-15
15
MIN logo
MIN
L
26-34
-8
-5
L
-18
16
LAC logo
LAC
L
17-34
-17
-1.5
L
-15
17
WAS logo
WAS@
W
30-23
+7
-8.5
L
8
18
NYG logo
NYG@
L
17-34
-17
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.13
3rd
EPA / Pass
+0.17
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
14th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.18
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.23
31st
EPA / Rush
+0.08
30th
Sack EPA
-2.80
5th
Turnover EPA
-5.01
19th
Point Differential
-2.4
20th
Points For
27.7
5th
Points Against
30.1
32nd
Total Yards
392.3
2nd
Passing Yards
212.9
5th
Rushing Yards
125.6
8th
Total Yards Allowed
377.4
30th
Passing Allowed
187.5
21st
Rushing Allowed
125.5
23rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
10th
4th Down
63%
6th
Red Zone
57%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
47%
32nd
4th Down
62%
21st
Red Zone
67%
30th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
19th
Created
0.6
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
16th
Created
0.4
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
22nd
Created
0.3
28th