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nfelo

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    • Games
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    • Betting Card
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Denver Broncos

AFC West

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1553
Week 5, 2025
Best nfelo
1726
Week 9, 2014
Worst nfelo
1343
Week 16, 2010

Season History

2025
2-2
PF: 24.0 |PA: 16.8
nfelo: 1563
Rank #7
2024
10-8
PF: 24.0 |PA: 19.0
nfelo: 1661
Rank #5
2023
8-9
PF: 21.0 |PA: 24.3
nfelo: 1410
Rank #26
2022
5-12
PF: 16.9 |PA: 21.1
nfelo: 1448
Rank #21
2021
7-10
PF: 19.7 |PA: 18.9
nfelo: 1468
Rank #21
2020
5-11
PF: 20.2 |PA: 27.9
nfelo: 1389
Rank #26
2019
7-9
PF: 17.6 |PA: 19.8
nfelo: 1469
Rank #19
2018
6-10
PF: 20.6 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1441
Rank #20
2017
5-11
PF: 18.1 |PA: 23.9
nfelo: 1436
Rank #21
2016
9-7
PF: 20.8 |PA: 18.6
nfelo: 1535
Rank #11
2015
15-4
PF: 22.2 |PA: 17.9
nfelo: 1597
Rank #7
2014
12-5
PF: 29.1 |PA: 22.2
nfelo: 1691
Rank #1
2013
15-4
PF: 34.9 |PA: 25.0
nfelo: 1736
Rank #1
2012
13-4
PF: 30.4 |PA: 19.2
nfelo: 1716
Rank #2
2011
9-9
PF: 19.3 |PA: 25.4
nfelo: 1446
Rank #24
2010
4-12
PF: 21.5 |PA: 29.4
nfelo: 1341
Rank #30
2009
8-8
PF: 20.4 |PA: 20.3
nfelo: 1524
Rank #18
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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