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  4. 2010
DEN logo

Denver Broncos

2010 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
134131st
Point Diff / Game
-7.929th
Net EPA / Play
-0.13929th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX@
L
17-24
-7
+3
L
-6
2
SEA logo
SEA
W
31-14
+17
-3.5
W
15
3
IND logo
IND
L
13-27
-14
+6
L
-22
4
TEN logo
TEN@
W
26-20
+6
+6.5
W
8
5
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-31
-14
+8
L
5
6
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
20-24
-4
+3.5
L
-10
7
OAK logo
OAK
L
14-59
-45
-7
L
-24
8
SF logo
SF@
L
16-24
-8
+2.5
L
-9
9BYE WEEK
10
KC logo
KC
W
49-29
+20
+1
W
21
11
LAC logo
LAC@
L
14-35
-21
+9
L
-20
12
LAR logo
LAR
L
33-36
-3
-3
L
-17
13
KC logo
KC@
L
06-10
-4
+8.5
W
-11
14
ARI logo
ARI@
L
13-43
-30
-4
L
-40
15
OAK logo
OAK@
L
23-39
-16
+8
L
-28
16
HOU logo
HOU
W
24-23
+1
+2.5
W
13
17
LAC logo
LAC
L
28-33
-5
+5.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.00
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
30th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.14
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.22
30th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
31st
Sack EPA
-3.56
16th
Turnover EPA
-6.60
16th
Point Differential
-7.9
29th
Points For
21.5
19th
Points Against
29.4
32nd
Total Yards
348.9
11th
Passing Yards
233.7
5th
Rushing Yards
96.5
26th
Total Yards Allowed
390.8
32nd
Passing Allowed
160.3
4th
Rushing Allowed
154.6
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
28th
4th Down
32%
30th
Red Zone
56%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
16th
4th Down
63%
27th
Red Zone
60%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
15th
Created
1.2
31st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
7th
Created
0.6
31st

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
26th
Created
0.6
22nd