nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. teams...
  3. den...
  4. 2021
DEN logo

Denver Broncos

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
146820th
Point Diff / Game
+0.817th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01216th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG@
W
27-13
+14
-3
W
49
2
JAX logo
JAX@
W
23-13
+10
-6
W
24
3
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
26-00
+26
-10.5
W
8
4
BAL logo
BAL
L
07-23
-16
-1
L
-21
5
PIT logo
PIT@
L
19-27
-8
-1
L
-6
6
OAK logo
OAK
L
24-34
-10
-5
L
-13
7
CLE logo
CLE@
L
14-17
-3
+1.5
L
-5
8
WAS logo
WAS
W
17-10
+7
-3.5
W
-1
9
DAL logo
DAL@
W
30-16
+14
+10
W
13
10
PHI logo
PHI
L
13-30
-17
-47
11BYE WEEK
12
LAC logo
LAC
W
28-13
+15
+2.5
W
12
13
KC logo
KC@
L
09-22
-13
+8.5
L
-19
14
DET logo
DET
W
38-10
+28
-12.5
W
60
15
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-15
-5
-3
L
-6
16
OAK logo
OAK@
L
13-17
-4
-1
L
-12
17
LAC logo
LAC@
L
13-34
-21
+7.5
L
-36
18
KC logo
KC
L
24-28
-4
+4
P
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
19th
EPA / Pass
-0.00
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
20th
Sack EPA
-3.30
6th
Turnover EPA
-4.67
25th
Point Differential
+0.8
17th
Points For
19.7
23rd
Points Against
18.9
2nd
Total Yards
330.6
19th
Passing Yards
211.5
11th
Rushing Yards
119.1
13th
Total Yards Allowed
326.5
9th
Passing Allowed
200.9
12th
Rushing Allowed
111.6
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
21st
4th Down
57%
14th
Red Zone
55%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
28th
4th Down
42%
4th
Red Zone
50%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
5th
Created
1.2
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
5th
Created
0.8
17th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.4
18th