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  4. 2010
DET logo

Detroit Lions

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
146917th
Point Diff / Game
-0.417th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00717th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CHI logo
CHI@
L
14-19
-5
+6.5
W
27
2
PHI logo
PHI
L
32-35
-3
+6.5
W
10
3
MIN logo
MIN@
L
10-24
-14
+13
L
-3
4
GB logo
GB@
L
26-28
-2
+14.5
W
30
5
LAR logo
LAR
W
44-06
+38
-3
W
22
6
NYG logo
NYG@
L
20-28
-8
+10
W
-50
7BYE WEEK
8
WAS logo
WAS
W
37-25
+12
-3
W
55
9
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
20-23
-3
+6
W
38
10
BUF logo
BUF@
L
12-14
-2
+1.5
L
3
11
DAL logo
DAL@
L
19-35
-16
+5.5
L
-22
12
NE logo
NE
L
24-45
-21
+6.5
L
-54
13
CHI logo
CHI
L
20-24
-4
+5.5
W
10
14
GB logo
GB
W
07-03
+4
+7
W
30
15
TB logo
TB@
W
23-20
+3
+4
W
60
16
MIA logo
MIA@
W
34-27
+7
+3.5
W
31
17
MIN logo
MIN
W
20-13
+7
-3.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
17th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
11th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
28th
Sack EPA
-2.60
4th
Turnover EPA
-6.40
18th
Point Differential
-0.4
17th
Points For
22.6
15th
Points Against
23.1
19th
Total Yards
339.2
15th
Passing Yards
222.6
6th
Rushing Yards
100.8
23rd
Total Yards Allowed
343.5
21st
Passing Allowed
218.6
28th
Rushing Allowed
124.9
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
14th
4th Down
63%
7th
Red Zone
63%
2nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
19th
4th Down
42%
9th
Red Zone
57%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
14th
Created
1.8
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
16th
Created
0.9
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
9th
Created
0.9
2nd