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  4. 2010
GB logo

Green Bay Packers

2010 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-6
nfelo Rating
16911st
Point Diff / Game
+9.72nd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1762nd

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PHI logo
PHI@
W
27-20
+7
-3
W
34
2
BUF logo
BUF
W
34-07
+27
-12.5
W
24
3
CHI logo
CHI@
L
17-20
-3
-3
L
-13
4
DET logo
DET
W
28-26
+2
-14.5
L
-28
5
WAS logo
WAS@
L
13-16
-3
-3
L
-13
6
MIA logo
MIA
L
20-23
-3
-3
L
-16
7
MIN logo
MIN
W
28-24
+4
-3
W
-1
8
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
09-00
+9
+6.5
W
0
9
DAL logo
DAL
W
45-07
+38
-7.5
W
24
10BYE WEEK
11
MIN logo
MIN@
W
31-03
+28
-3
W
19
12
ATL logo
ATL@
L
17-20
-3
+2
L
9
13
SF logo
SF
W
34-16
+18
-9
W
8
14
DET logo
DET@
L
03-07
-4
-7
L
-243
15
NE logo
NE@
L
27-31
-4
+14
W
215
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
45-17
+28
-3
W
24
17
CHI logo
CHI
W
10-03
+7
-12
L
-2
18
PHI logo
PHI@
W
21-16
+5
+1
W
5
19
ATL logo
ATL@
W
48-21
+27
+1
W
39
20
CHI logo
CHI@
W
21-14
+7
-3.5
W
-2
21
PIT logo
PIT
W
31-25
+6
-3
W
-44

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.09
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.06
11th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.15
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.07
19th
Sack EPA
-3.58
17th
Turnover EPA
-4.50
27th
Point Differential
+9.7
2nd
Points For
25.4
7th
Points Against
15.8
1st
Total Yards
358.8
9th
Passing Yards
214.9
7th
Rushing Yards
100.5
24th
Total Yards Allowed
309.1
5th
Passing Allowed
188.8
14th
Rushing Allowed
108.8
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
7th
4th Down
38%
25th
Red Zone
63%
4th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
9th
4th Down
35%
4th
Red Zone
50%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
10th
Created
2.1
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
7th
Created
1.6
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
11th
Created
0.6
26th