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  4. 2022
GB logo

Green Bay Packers

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-9
nfelo Rating
15437th
Point Diff / Game
-0.112th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00514th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN@
L
07-23
-16
+2
L
-40
2
CHI logo
CHI
W
27-10
+17
-10
W
52
3
TB logo
TB@
W
14-12
+2
+1
W
27
4
NE logo
NE
W
27-24
+3
-9.5
L
-9
5
NYG logo
NYG
L
22-27
-5
-9
L
-11
6
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
10-27
-17
-7.5
L
-41
7
WAS logo
WAS@
L
21-23
-2
-4
L
-5
8
BUF logo
BUF@
L
17-27
-10
+10.5
W
3
9
DET logo
DET@
L
09-15
-6
-3.5
L
-17
10
DAL logo
DAL
W
31-28
+3
+3.5
W
13
11
TEN logo
TEN
L
17-27
-10
-3
L
-9
12
PHI logo
PHI@
L
33-40
-7
+6
L
-7
13
CHI logo
CHI@
W
28-19
+9
-3.5
W
7
14BYE WEEK
15
LAR logo
LAR
W
24-12
+12
-7.5
W
9
16
MIA logo
MIA@
W
26-20
+6
+3.5
W
6
17
MIN logo
MIN
W
41-17
+24
-3
W
12
18
DET logo
DET
L
16-20
-4
-5.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
18th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
10th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.00
20th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
14th
EPA / Rush
+0.06
29th
Sack EPA
-3.87
14th
Turnover EPA
-5.43
17th
Point Differential
-0.1
12th
Points For
21.8
14th
Points Against
21.8
16th
Total Yards
338.2
17th
Passing Yards
191.6
13th
Rushing Yards
124.3
15th
Total Yards Allowed
336.6
16th
Passing Allowed
174.0
13th
Rushing Allowed
139.6
26th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
39%
27th
Red Zone
52%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
7th
4th Down
58%
23rd
Red Zone
54%
11th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
9th
Created
1.5
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
10th
Created
1.0
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
9th
Created
0.5
14th