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IND logo

Indianapolis Colts

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-7
nfelo Rating
157711th
Point Diff / Game
+2.712th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03713th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU@
L
24-34
-10
-2
L
-8
2
NYG logo
NYG
W
38-14
+24
-4
W
12
3
DEN logo
DEN@
W
27-13
+14
-6
W
35
4
JAX logo
JAX@
L
28-31
-3
-7
L
-19
5
KC logo
KC
W
19-09
+10
-7.5
W
-16
6
WAS logo
WAS@
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
5
7BYE WEEK
8
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-17
+13
-5.5
W
3
9
PHI logo
PHI@
L
24-26
-2
+3
W
-18
10
CIN logo
CIN
W
23-17
+6
-7
L
-18
11
NE logo
NE@
L
28-31
-3
+4
W
9
12
LAC logo
LAC
L
14-36
-22
-2
L
-23
13
DAL logo
DAL
L
35-38
-3
-6
L
-10
14
TEN logo
TEN@
W
30-28
+2
-3.5
L
6
15
JAX logo
JAX
W
34-24
+10
-4.5
W
6
16
OAK logo
OAK@
W
31-26
+5
-2
W
6
17
TEN logo
TEN
W
23-20
+3
-9
L
-5
18
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
16-17
-1
-1
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.10
3rd
EPA / Pass
+0.17
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
13th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
29th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.01
29th
Sack EPA
-1.12
1st
Turnover EPA
-5.59
21st
Point Differential
+2.7
12th
Points For
26.5
4th
Points Against
23.8
23rd
Total Yards
376.7
6th
Passing Yards
209.6
8th
Rushing Yards
92.7
29th
Total Yards Allowed
342.4
20th
Passing Allowed
188.9
15th
Rushing Allowed
129.5
27th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
5th
4th Down
63%
7th
Red Zone
66%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
23rd
4th Down
44%
12th
Red Zone
52%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
12th
Created
1.2
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
16th
Created
0.6
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
7th
Created
0.6
21st