nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. teams...
  3. ind...
  4. 2023
IND logo

Indianapolis Colts

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
143223rd
Point Diff / Game
-1.119th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02820th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX
L
21-31
-10
+3.5
L
-7
2
HOU logo
HOU@
W
31-20
+11
35
3
BAL logo
BAL@
W
22-19
+3
+7.5
W
2
4
LAR logo
LAR
L
23-29
-6
+1.5
L
-17
5
TEN logo
TEN
W
23-16
+7
+2
W
14
6
JAX logo
JAX@
L
20-37
-17
+4
L
-16
7
CLE logo
CLE
L
38-39
-1
+3.5
W
17
8
NO logo
NO
L
27-38
-11
+2
L
-14
9
CAR logo
CAR@
W
27-13
+14
-1.5
W
21
10
NE logo
NE@
W
10-06
+4
-1
W
20
11BYE WEEK
12
TB logo
TB
W
27-20
+7
-2.5
W
2
13
TEN logo
TEN@
W
31-28
+3
-1
W
9
14
CIN logo
CIN@
L
14-34
-20
+3
L
-17
15
PIT logo
PIT
W
30-13
+17
-1
W
22
16
ATL logo
ATL@
L
10-29
-19
+3
L
-34
17
OAK logo
OAK
W
23-20
+3
-3.5
L
-0
18
HOU logo
HOU
L
19-23
-4
+1.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
17th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
21st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
19th
EPA / Pass
-0.00
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
20th
Sack EPA
-4.53
17th
Turnover EPA
-4.70
19th
Point Differential
-1.1
19th
Points For
23.3
11th
Points Against
24.4
28th
Total Yards
337.2
14th
Passing Yards
191.4
14th
Rushing Yards
121.1
10th
Total Yards Allowed
349.8
24th
Passing Allowed
209.9
25th
Rushing Allowed
123.8
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
26th
4th Down
50%
16th
Red Zone
49%
23rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
11th
4th Down
65%
30th
Red Zone
56%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
13th
Created
1.5
9th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
6th
Created
0.9
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
16th
Created
0.6
8th