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nfelo

Platform
    • Games
    • Confidence Pool
    • Betting Card
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Jacksonville Jaguars

AFC South

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1441
Week 22, 2024
Best nfelo
1588
Week 9, 2023
Worst nfelo
1188
Week 12, 2013

Season History

2024
4-13
PF: 18.8 |PA: 25.6
nfelo: 1401
Rank #27
2023
9-8
PF: 22.2 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1527
Rank #14
2022
10-9
PF: 23.9 |PA: 21.4
nfelo: 1480
Rank #18
2021
3-14
PF: 14.9 |PA: 26.9
nfelo: 1253
Rank #32
2020
1-15
PF: 19.1 |PA: 30.8
nfelo: 1302
Rank #32
2019
6-10
PF: 18.8 |PA: 24.8
nfelo: 1343
Rank #28
2018
5-11
PF: 15.3 |PA: 19.8
nfelo: 1478
Rank #18
2017
12-7
PF: 25.9 |PA: 17.7
nfelo: 1540
Rank #9
2016
3-13
PF: 19.9 |PA: 25.0
nfelo: 1405
Rank #26
2015
5-11
PF: 23.5 |PA: 28.0
nfelo: 1412
Rank #24
2014
3-13
PF: 15.6 |PA: 25.8
nfelo: 1303
Rank #31
2013
4-12
PF: 15.4 |PA: 28.1
nfelo: 1271
Rank #32
2012
2-14
PF: 15.9 |PA: 27.8
nfelo: 1309
Rank #31
2011
5-11
PF: 15.2 |PA: 20.6
nfelo: 1359
Rank #30
2010
8-8
PF: 22.1 |PA: 26.2
nfelo: 1355
Rank #28
2009
7-9
PF: 18.1 |PA: 23.8
nfelo: 1443
Rank #21
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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