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  4. 2010
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Jacksonville Jaguars

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
135328th
Point Diff / Game
-4.124th
Net EPA / Play
-0.07826th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN
W
24-17
+7
-3
W
14
2
LAC logo
LAC@
L
13-38
-25
+7
L
-25
3
PHI logo
PHI
L
03-28
-25
+3
L
-26
4
IND logo
IND
W
31-28
+3
+7
W
34
5
BUF logo
BUF@
W
36-26
+10
+2.5
W
22
6
TEN logo
TEN
L
03-30
-27
+3
L
-81
7
KC logo
KC@
L
20-42
-22
+9
L
35
8
DAL logo
DAL@
W
35-17
+18
+6.5
W
25
9BYE WEEK
10
HOU logo
HOU
W
31-24
+7
-1
W
17
11
CLE logo
CLE
W
24-20
+4
-2.5
W
-6
12
NYG logo
NYG@
L
20-24
-4
+7.5
W
15
13
TEN logo
TEN@
W
17-06
+11
+3
W
12
14
OAK logo
OAK
W
38-31
+7
-3.5
W
-0
15
IND logo
IND@
L
24-34
-10
+4.5
L
0
16
WAS logo
WAS
L
17-20
-3
-7
L
-101
17
HOU logo
HOU@
L
17-34
-17
+4.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
9th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
21st
EPA / Rush
+0.06
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.13
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.23
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.00
30th
Sack EPA
-3.95
22nd
Turnover EPA
-7.75
10th
Point Differential
-4.1
24th
Points For
22.1
17th
Points Against
26.2
26th
Total Yards
340.9
13th
Passing Yards
181.5
19th
Rushing Yards
149.2
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
371.9
27th
Passing Allowed
190.0
16th
Rushing Allowed
121.7
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
13th
4th Down
64%
6th
Red Zone
63%
2nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
27th
4th Down
44%
12th
Red Zone
54%
20th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
22nd
Created
1.3
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
27th
Created
0.8
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
9th
Created
0.5
28th