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  4. 2010
KC logo

Kansas City Chiefs

2010 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-7
nfelo Rating
148313th
Point Diff / Game
+1.016th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01615th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC
W
21-14
+7
+4
W
7
2
CLE logo
CLE@
W
16-14
+2
+3
W
12
3
SF logo
SF
W
31-10
+21
+3
W
22
4BYE WEEK
5
IND logo
IND@
L
09-19
-10
+7.5
L
3
6
HOU logo
HOU@
L
31-35
-4
+4.5
W
13
7
JAX logo
JAX
W
42-20
+22
-9
W
34
8
BUF logo
BUF
W
13-10
+3
-7
L
-6
9
OAK logo
OAK@
L
20-23
-3
-1
L
-11
10
DEN logo
DEN@
L
29-49
-20
-1
L
2
11
ARI logo
ARI
W
31-13
+18
-7
W
12
12
SEA logo
SEA@
W
42-24
+18
-2
W
46
13
DEN logo
DEN
W
10-06
+4
-8.5
L
-85
14
LAC logo
LAC@
L
00-31
-31
+10
L
47
15
LAR logo
LAR@
W
27-13
+14
+3
W
3
16
TEN logo
TEN
W
34-14
+20
-4
W
24
17
OAK logo
OAK
L
10-31
-21
-5
L
-40
18
BAL logo
BAL
L
07-30
-23
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
7th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
20th
Sack EPA
-3.34
13th
Turnover EPA
-3.48
31st
Point Differential
+1.0
16th
Points For
21.9
18th
Points Against
20.9
14th
Total Yards
338.6
16th
Passing Yards
137.9
31st
Rushing Yards
160.9
1st
Total Yards Allowed
333.7
16th
Passing Allowed
204.0
22nd
Rushing Allowed
112.1
16th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
21st
4th Down
40%
22nd
Red Zone
60%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
18th
4th Down
38%
6th
Red Zone
65%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
7th
Created
1.3
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
4th
Created
0.8
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
15th
Created
0.5
30th